• TwoTigers24, New York
  • October 19, 2026

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At a global disarmament conference in Geneva, the United States accused China of secretly conducting low-yield nuclear tests in 2020 — an allegation Beijing strongly denies. The claim comes at a pivotal moment, as the New START treaty between the US and Russia has expired and Washington pushes for a new trilateral arms control framework that China refuses to join. Are we entering a post–arms control era marked by renewed nuclear testing and unconstrained warhead deployments? In this episode, we examine the credibility of the US allegations, China’s strategic calculus, the collapse of traditional arms control regimes, and what a potential three-way nuclear competition could mean for the Indo-Pacific and Taiwan. *Recorded on February 12, 2026 at 3:15pm Taiwan Standard Time Host: Wen-Ti Sung Producer: Chinyeh Chiang Our guests: Kitsch Liao Atlantic Council’s Global China Hub Associate Director K. Tristan Tang Pacific Forum Non-Resident Vasey Fellow Chapters: 00:00:00 – Talks Falter as US-Russia Treaty Expires 00:01:40 – US Accuses China of Secret Nuke Tests 00:09:00 – New START Treaty Lapses 00:14:00 – US Calls for Treaty With Russia, China

Source: Nuclear Deadlock: US Alleges Secret China Tests as New START Treaty Expires | Taiwan Talks EP780

Author

YNOT — Two Tigers Consulting From Building Bridges to Watching China About 15 years ago, I founded a small company called Two Tigers Consulting with a relatively simple idea: help American and Chinese businesses work together. At the time, China represented one of the greatest business opportunities in the world — a rapidly expanding economy, extraordinary manufacturing capabilities, and ambitious entrepreneurs eager to build relationships with American companies. Two Tigers Consulting was created to help bridge that gap. For a while, it worked. We attended trade shows, arranged meetings, and introduced companies across both cultures. But after one particularly promising trade show, several Chinese businesspeople we had met were reportedly arrested upon returning to China — apparently for traveling without proper authorization. That experience taught me something important: in China, being a successful entrepreneur doesn't necessarily mean being free to conduct business. As Xi Jinping consolidated power and the political environment shifted, we concluded the potential rewards of doing business in China no longer justified the risks. Rather than abandon our knowledge entirely, Two Tigers evolved into a platform for following, discussing, and analyzing developments inside China — its economy, political leadership, and increasingly complicated relationship with the United States. I want to make absolutely clear that I have tremendous respect for the Chinese people — their entrepreneurs, engineers, and workers are extraordinarily capable. But I also believe China's political system creates fundamental contradictions: enormous private fortunes can be accumulated, yet ultimate political authority remains firmly concentrated, making relationships based on mutual trust and predictable rules extremely difficult to sustain. Today, Two Tigers is an independent publication examining China's achievements, challenges, ambitions, and contradictions — where they intersect with the United States and the broader world. What began as a small business venture now attracts roughly 10,000 visits a day. Understanding China is no longer optional: what happens there affects businesses, economies, and people throughout the world. And that is why Two Tigers continues.

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