• TwoTigers24, New York
  • October 22, 2026

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Taiwan’s outreach to Africa hit a new obstacle after President Lai Ching-te’s planned visit to Eswatini was temporarily blocked by Seychelles, Mauritius and Madagascar. The move has fueled speculation that China is expanding its pressure campaign beyond diplomacy into control over airspace and travel routes. Some analysts warn this could signal a new form of “aerial blockade,” leveraging third countries to restrict Taiwan’s global engagement. But how sustainable is this tactic — and could it backfire? In this episode, we examine the geopolitical forces behind the decision, China’s influence in Africa and how Taiwan can respond to tightening constraints on its international presence. *Recorded on April 30, 2026 at 1:45pm Taiwan Standard Time Host: Wen-Ti Sung Producer: Tina Hsu Our guests: Lai I-chung Prospect Foundation President Marc Cheng Tamkang University Department of Diplomacy and International Relations Adjunct Lecturer Chapters: 00:00:00 – China’s African Allies Block Lai’s Eswatini Trip 00:01:26 – Is China Weaponizing Airspace Against Taiwan? 00:12:30 – Beijing’s Economic Leverage over African Allies

Source: China Attempts To Contain Taiwan With ‘Aerial Blockade’ by African Allies | Taiwan Talks EP 825

Summary

This episode of Taiwan Talks examines recent geopolitical developments involving Taiwan's diplomatic outreach to Africa. The discussion centers on a specific incident where President Lai Ching-te's planned visit to Eswatini was reportedly obstructed by Seychelles, Mauritius, and Madagascar. This event has led to speculation that China is extending its influence beyond traditional diplomacy to control airspace and travel routes. Some analysts suggest this situation could represent a new form of aerial blockade, utilizing third-party nations to limit Taiwan's global engagement. The program explores the sustainability of such tactics and the potential for them to backfire on Beijing. Experts analyze the underlying geopolitical forces driving these decisions, including China's growing influence in Africa and its economic leverage over allied nations. The episode also considers how Taiwan might respond to these tightening constraints on its international presence. Recorded in April 2026, the conversation features insights from guests Lai I-chung and Marc Cheng, who discuss the implications for regional security and diplomatic norms.

Watch “China Tries To Contain Taiwan With ‘Aerial Blockade’ by African Allies | Taiwan Talks EP825” on YouTube

Author

YNOT — Two Tigers Consulting From Building Bridges to Watching China About 15 years ago, I founded a small company called Two Tigers Consulting with a relatively simple idea: help American and Chinese businesses work together. At the time, China represented one of the greatest business opportunities in the world — a rapidly expanding economy, extraordinary manufacturing capabilities, and ambitious entrepreneurs eager to build relationships with American companies. Two Tigers Consulting was created to help bridge that gap. For a while, it worked. We attended trade shows, arranged meetings, and introduced companies across both cultures. But after one particularly promising trade show, several Chinese businesspeople we had met were reportedly arrested upon returning to China — apparently for traveling without proper authorization. That experience taught me something important: in China, being a successful entrepreneur doesn't necessarily mean being free to conduct business. As Xi Jinping consolidated power and the political environment shifted, we concluded the potential rewards of doing business in China no longer justified the risks. Rather than abandon our knowledge entirely, Two Tigers evolved into a platform for following, discussing, and analyzing developments inside China — its economy, political leadership, and increasingly complicated relationship with the United States. I want to make absolutely clear that I have tremendous respect for the Chinese people — their entrepreneurs, engineers, and workers are extraordinarily capable. But I also believe China's political system creates fundamental contradictions: enormous private fortunes can be accumulated, yet ultimate political authority remains firmly concentrated, making relationships based on mutual trust and predictable rules extremely difficult to sustain. Today, Two Tigers is an independent publication examining China's achievements, challenges, ambitions, and contradictions — where they intersect with the United States and the broader world. What began as a small business venture now attracts roughly 10,000 visits a day. Understanding China is no longer optional: what happens there affects businesses, economies, and people throughout the world. And that is why Two Tigers continues.

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